{"id":5115,"date":"2014-04-11T23:46:08","date_gmt":"2014-04-11T20:46:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.belediyeler.net\/?p=5115"},"modified":"2014-04-11T23:51:11","modified_gmt":"2014-04-11T20:51:11","slug":"mhpnin-mutevazi-kazanimlari","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.belediyeler.net\/?p=5115","title":{"rendered":"MHP\u2019nin m\u00fctevaz\u0131 kazan\u0131mlar\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

30 Mart yerel se\u00e7imi MHP a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ilk bak\u0131\u015fta \u00e7eli\u015fkili bir tablo ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu parti, \u0130stanbul, Ankara ve \u0130zmir gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck kentlerde zay\u0131f bir performans sergilemekle birlikte, g\u00fcneydo\u011fu da hari\u00e7 tutulursa, \u00fclkenin geri kalan kesiminde m\u00fctevaz\u0131 ancak anlaml\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

MHP\u2019nin se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 analiz ederken, bu partinin 2002 se\u00e7imi sonras\u0131ndaki 12 y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6nemde -2011\u2019de ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda- genelde yukar\u0131 do\u011fru y\u00fckselen bir \u00e7izgi izledi\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebilmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. 30 Mart\u2019ta, \u201851 ilde il genel meclisleri ve 30 b\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehirde belediye meclisleri toplam\u0131\u2019 kriterinde ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 7 milyon 909 bin oy (y\u00fczde 17.62), MHP\u2019nin bu s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 en y\u00fcksek oy miktar\u0131n\u0131 ifade ediyor. (Analizde T\u00fcrkiye toplam\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7erken parti aidiyetini yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in daha \u00e7ok bu kriteri esas al\u0131yoruz.)<\/p>\n

MHP\u2019nin 30 Mart\u2019taki bu oyunu 2011 genel se\u00e7iminde ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 5 milyon 575 bin oyla k\u0131yaslad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda y\u00fczde 41 oran\u0131nda bir art\u0131\u015f s\u00f6z konusu.<\/p>\n

Bu art\u0131\u015f\u0131n co\u011frafi b\u00f6lgelere da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, MHP\u2019nin en kuvvetli performans\u0131 Bat\u0131 Karadeniz\u2019de g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. MHP Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi\u2019nin belediye meclisleri i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lan oylar\u0131 esas alarak yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re, bu b\u00f6lgede 2011\u2019e k\u0131yasla sa\u011flanan art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 62.17 oran\u0131nda. Bunu y\u00fczde 48.2 ile Ege ve \u0130\u00e7 Ege ve y\u00fczde 47.55 ile Akdeniz B\u00f6lgesi izliyor.<\/p>\n

MHP\u2019nin Osmaniye\u2019ye ek olarak \u00f6zellikle Adana ve Mersin\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir belediye ba\u015fkanl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 da kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Akdeniz B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin MHP a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yeni d\u00f6nemde \u00f6nemli bir g\u00fc\u00e7 merkezi olarak belirmekte oldu\u011fu s\u00f6ylenebilir.<\/p>\n

* * *<\/p>\n

MHP\u2019nin il baz\u0131nda al\u0131nan toplam oylarda birinci geldi\u011fi yaln\u0131zca iki il var. Bunlar Osmaniye ve Mersin. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 32 ilde MHP\u2019nin ikinci geldi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. 31 ilde ise \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc parti konumunda MHP. Orta Anadolu ve Karadeniz\u2019de CHP\u2019nin sahneden b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u00e7ekilmesiyle birlikte, MHP bu b\u00f6lgelerde ikinci parti olarak AK Parti ile neredeyse ba\u015f ba\u015fa kalm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

MHP a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan vurgulanmas\u0131 gereken \u00f6nemli bir ba\u015fka nokta daha var. Bu da partinin y\u00fczde 10-40 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oy al\u0131nan illerin toplam\u0131nda CHP\u2019yi geride b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131. Radikal\u2019den Bahad\u0131r \u00d6zg\u00fcr\u2019\u00fcn ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na g\u00f6re, MHP\u2019nin y\u00fczde 30-40 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 14, y\u00fczde 20-30 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda durdu\u011fu 29 ve y\u00fczde 10-20 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 21 il var.<\/p>\n

* * *<\/p>\n

\"23994151\"<\/a>MHP\u2019nin \u00fclkenin \u00fc\u00e7 b\u00fcy\u00fck kentinde eskiden beri sorunu var.
\nAyr\u0131ca, yerel se\u00e7imlerde bu kentlerin CHP ile AK Parti aras\u0131ndaki keskin bir \u00e7eki\u015fmeye sahne olmas\u0131, MHP\u2019nin arada s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

MHP, 2011 genel se\u00e7iminde \u0130stanbul\u2019da y\u00fczde 9.5 dolay\u0131nda oy alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu se\u00e7imde ise \u0130stanbul\u2019da il\u00e7e belediyelerinde yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 7.41 oy ald\u0131. Yani bir gerileme ya\u015fad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Buna ek olarak, belediye ba\u015fkan\u0131 se\u00e7imlerinde \u00fc\u00e7 b\u00fcy\u00fck kentte MHP\u2019li se\u00e7menin az\u0131msanmayacak bir kesiminin taktik nedenlerle CHP adaylar\u0131na y\u00f6neldi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u00d6rne\u011fin, \u0130stanbul\u2019da MHP aday\u0131 Rasim Acar i\u00e7in verilen oy oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 4.01\u2019de kald\u0131. Oysa \u0130stanbul\u2019da il\u00e7e belediye meclisleri i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lan oylarda MHP\u2019nin oran\u0131 toplamda y\u00fczde 7.41\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Aradaki fark\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde CHP aday\u0131 Mustafa Sar\u0131g\u00fcl\u2019e gitti\u011fi anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ayn\u0131 kal\u0131p daha geni\u015f \u00f6l\u00e7ekte Ankara\u2019da ya\u015fand\u0131. MHP\u2019nin belediye ba\u015fkan aday\u0131 Mevl\u00fct Karakaya\u2019n\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 oy oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 7.88\u2019de kald\u0131. MHP\u2019nin Ankara\u2019da belediye meclisi i\u00e7in toplad\u0131\u011f\u0131 oylar ise y\u00fczde 17.31\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Aradaki 10 puana yak\u0131n fark \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde CHP\u2019nin MHP k\u00f6kenli aday\u0131 Mansur Yava\u015f\u2019a gitti.<\/p>\n

* * *<\/p>\n

\u00dc\u00e7 b\u00fcy\u00fck kentteki zay\u0131f performans\u0131n toplama olumsuz yans\u0131mas\u0131 MHP\u2019nin ara\u015ft\u0131rmadan sorumlu genel ba\u015fkan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Denizli Milletvekili Emin Haluk Ayhan\u2019\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada da ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Ayhan, bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n sonucuna dayanarak, \u00fc\u00e7 b\u00fcy\u00fck kent oylar\u0131 hari\u00e7 tutuldu\u011funda MHP\u2019nin y\u00fczde 22\u2019lik bir toplamla y\u00fczde 21\u2019de kalan CHP\u2019nin \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7erek T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de AK Parti\u2019den sonra ikinci parti konumuna geldi\u011fini belirtiyor. MHP Genel Merkezi\u2019nin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde dikkatini b\u00fcy\u00fck kentlerdeki ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu t\u0131kan\u0131kl\u0131\u011fa \u00e7evirece\u011fi anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ancak bu sorunlara ra\u011fmen MHP Genel Merkezi\u2019nin elde edilen sonu\u00e7tan memnun oldu\u011fu s\u00f6ylenebilir. MHP\u2019deki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n nedenleri \u00fczerinde ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar gerekiyor. \u0130lk g\u00f6zlemler olarak, yolsuzluk iddialar\u0131 kadar -hatta daha fazla oranda- Abdullah \u00d6calan ile ba\u015flat\u0131lan bar\u0131\u015f s\u00fcrecine Anadolu\u2019nun milliyet\u00e7i kesimlerinde duyulan rahats\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n MHP\u2019ye do\u011fru y\u00f6neli\u015fte \u00f6nemli bir fakt\u00f6r oldu\u011fu ileri s\u00fcr\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n

MHP\u2019nin yakalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu art\u0131\u015f trendini 2015 genel se\u00e7imine ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ta\u015f\u0131yabilece\u011fi ve bu se\u00e7imde y\u00fczde 20 e\u015fi\u011fini a\u015f\u0131p a\u015famayaca\u011f\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de siyasetin yeni d\u00f6nemdeki \u00f6nemli de\u011fi\u015fkenlerinden biri olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\"23994150\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Sedat ERG\u0130N, sergin1@hurriyet.com.tr<\/p>\n

11 Nisan 2014<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

30 Mart yerel se\u00e7imi MHP a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ilk bak\u0131\u015fta \u00e7eli\u015fkili bir tablo ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Bu parti, \u0130stanbul, Ankara ve \u0130zmir gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck kentlerde zay\u0131f bir performans sergilemekle birlikte, g\u00fcneydo\u011fu da hari\u00e7 tutulursa, \u00fclkenin geri kalan...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5116,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[50,1,51],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.belediyeler.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5115"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.belediyeler.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.belediyeler.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.belediyeler.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.belediyeler.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5115"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/www.belediyeler.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5115\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5122,"href":"http:\/\/www.belediyeler.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5115\/revisions\/5122"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.belediyeler.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/5116"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.belediyeler.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5115"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.belediyeler.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5115"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.belediyeler.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5115"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}